More than 3,200 Boeing employees at defense division factories in the 最新杏吧原创 area could walk off the job Sunday, halting production of the aerospace company鈥檚 fighter jets.
Members of the Machinists union Local 837 voted Sunday to reject Boeing鈥檚 latest contract offer, starting the clock for a seven-day cooling off period before a strike could begin.
The two parties will continue negotiations Thursday, according to a Boeing spokesperson.
While the threatened strike would be disruptive, particularly for an area of Boeing鈥檚 business already struggling with costly contracts, analysts don鈥檛 expect the stoppage would hinder Boeing鈥檚 overall financial position.
And it won鈥檛 have the same detrimental impact of a 53-day Machinists strike at the company鈥檚 Puget Sound-area factories last fall, analysts said.
People are also reading…
In that case, 33,000 union members walked off the job, halting production in Boeing鈥檚 commercial factories in Washington. From the time workers left in September to their return in November, Boeing lost at least $5.5 billion, according to an estimate from the consulting firm Anderson Economic Group.
To shore up its finances, Boeing raised $21 billion in an expanded share sale in October, working to stave off a potential credit rating downgrade amid the ongoing labor stoppage.
The strike in 最新杏吧原创 would impact fewer workers and a smaller portion of Boeing鈥檚 inventory, and comes at a time when Boeing is more prepared to weather the impact, said Scott Mikus, an aerospace analyst with Melius Research.
When Machinists walked out of Boeing鈥檚 Puget Sound-area factories last fall, the company was still recovering from a panel blowing off an Alaska Airlines 737 MAX 9. The blowout briefly grounded the plane, slowed production in Boeing鈥檚 factories and led to heightened regulatory scrutiny as lawmakers and the flying public questioned the company鈥檚 manufacturing practices.
鈥淚t was just at a really bad time,鈥 Mikus said. 鈥淏oeing already had pressure on deliveries, then was trying to regain their footing, and then got hit with the strike.鈥
Now, almost a year later, 鈥渙ne thing鈥檚 for sure: the balance sheet is in much better shape,鈥 Mikus continued.
While a disruption to Boeing鈥檚 commercial products quickly affected the company鈥檚 ability to make money from delivering planes to customers, the defense business doesn鈥檛 account for as much of the company鈥檚 revenue, so a strike in its defense factories wouldn鈥檛 have an immediate hit.
鈥淔ighter aircraft, at this point, aren鈥檛 a huge part of Boeing鈥檚 overall revenue exposure,鈥 Mikus said.
In the second quarter this year, Boeing鈥檚 defense and space business recorded $6.6 billion in revenue, while its commercial airplanes division recorded $10.9 billion.
During the same quarter last year, months before the Machinist鈥檚 Puget Sound-area strike kicked off, both Boeing鈥檚 defense and commercial business reported $6 billion in revenue.
The strike could impact Boeing鈥檚 tentative defense recovery, though, said Ron Epstein, an analyst with Bank of America.
While the division has earned money from its operations the last two quarters, it lost $2.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting $1.7 billion in write-offs from troubled fixed-price contracts.
Epstein doesn鈥檛 expect the work stoppage would impact earnings or free cash flow by a wide margin, but 鈥渨hat it does do, the recovery they鈥檝e been working on 鈥 it just pushes all that to the right.鈥
Epstein and Mikus said the strike would not impact Boeing鈥檚 latest defense win: a contract from the U.S. Air Force to build its next fighter jet, the F-47.
Because the contract is so new, and Boeing is just starting to expand operations to accommodate production, a strike right now would likely not delay that timeline, the analysts said.
The strike also would likely not impact two Boeing defense products that are built as derivatives of commercial planes: the KC-46 tanker built in Everett and the P-8 Poseidon built in Renton.
Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg, who helped usher in a deal to end the Machinists work stoppage last fall, told investors Tuesday he wasn鈥檛 concerned about the 最新杏吧原创 strike.
鈥淭he order of magnitude of this is much, much less than we saw last fall,鈥 Ortberg said. 鈥淲e鈥檒l manage through this. I wouldn鈥檛 worry too much about the implications of the strike.鈥
The proposed offer to Local 837 included a 20% wage increase over the next four years and a $5,000 ratification bonus.
The International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers said in a statement the offer 鈥渇ell short of addressing the priorities and sacrifices of the skilled IAM Union workforce. Our members are standing together to demand a contract that respects their work and ensures a secure future.鈥
Boeing characterized the proposal as the 鈥渞ichest contract offer we鈥檝e ever presented to IAM 837鈥 and said it was 鈥渄isappointed鈥 employees had voted against it.
鈥淲e鈥檝e activated our contingency plan and are focused on preparing for a strike,鈥 the company said in a statement.
Unique footage captured at Gatwick Airport near London, England, shows a British Airways Boeing 777 airplane flying through dense fog on April 14.